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The break-even sales formula in Google Sheets or Excel

If you would rather build it yourself, here is a complete break-even ROAS calculator in six spreadsheet formulas, fixed costs included. It works in Google Sheets and Excel, with example numbers so you can check your work.

Set up the inputs

Put your numbers in column B, one per row, starting in row 2. Enter percentages as percentages (52%, not 52), so the spreadsheet stores them as decimals. Here is an example for a bedding store:

CellInputExample
B2Average order value$130
B3Gross margin52%
B4Shipping per order$11
B5Payment fee3%
B6Refund rate5%
B7Fixed costs per month$16,000
B8Fees on ad spend (agency, VAT)0%
B9Monthly ad spend$30,000
B10ROAS4.2

The formulas

These work the same in Google Sheets and Excel. Put them in column B, below the inputs.

CellWhat it calculatesFormula
B12Contribution per order=B2*B3 - B2*B3*B6 - B4 - B2*B5
B13Contribution margin=B12/B2
B14Floor (lowest ROAS that can ever break even)=(1+B8)/B13
B15Break-even ROAS at your spend=(B9*(1+B8)+B7)/(B9*B13)
B16Monthly profit at your ROAS=B9*B10*B13 - B9*(1+B8) - B7
B17Break-even cost per purchase=B2/B15

What each one does:

  • B12 starts from the order value, keeps the gross margin, takes off the margin lost on refunded orders (refund rate × gross profit), then shipping and the payment fee.
  • B14, the floor, is the break-even ROAS with an unlimited budget. Below it, every order loses money.
  • B15 is the one that matters month to month. It includes your fixed costs, so it changes with your ad spend.
  • B16 is the profit for the month at the ROAS in B10.

Check your sheet against the calculator

With the example inputs, your sheet should show:

CellResult
B12 Contribution per order$49.32
B13 Contribution margin37.9%
B14 Floor2.64x
B15 Break-even ROAS4.04x
B16 Monthly profit$1,802
B17 Break-even CPA$32.17

Here are the same inputs in the ROAS Chart calculator:

ROAS chart for a bedding store: $30,000 a month at 4.20x ROAS sits above the break-even line at 4.04x, a profit of $1,802, matching the spreadsheet.
The same inputs in the calculator: break-even at $30,000 is 4.04x, and 4.20x makes $1,802, matching the spreadsheet. Click or tap the chart to enlarge it.

If your numbers differ, check that percentages were entered with the % sign, and that fixed costs are monthly.

Make it a table across spend levels

Because break-even changes with spend, it is worth seeing several budgets at once. Put spend levels in a column, say D2:D6, and in E2:

=($D2*(1+$B$8)+$B$7)/($D2*$B$13)

Fill it down. For the example store:

Monthly spendBreak-even ROAS
$15,0005.45x
$30,0004.04x
$60,0003.34x

When a spreadsheet is enough, and when it isn't

A sheet is great for one set of numbers. It gets harder when you want to track every month, compare a what-if scenario, or see where each month sits against the curve. That is what the calculator's chart is for. It draws the whole line, plots your months on it and compares scenarios side by side, with the same formulas.

For what each formula means, see the break-even ROAS formula and minimum ROAS.

Every figure in this article comes from the ROAS Chart calculator, and the screenshots show it with the same numbers. The formulas are written out on the math behind it.